Student Home County Mapping Prepared for Clarion University of Pennsylvania September 2013 In the following report, Hanover Research presents maps that compare the wealth of the counties in Pennsylvania with the average number of students enrolled at Clarion University of Pennsylvania from those counties. Hanover Research | September 2013 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary and Key Findings ............................................................................... 3 Introduction ...........................................................................................................................3 Key Findings ...........................................................................................................................3 Section I: Methodology .................................................................................................... 6 Section II: Maps ............................................................................................................... 7 Appendix A: County Codes ............................................................................................. 11 © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 2 Hanover Research | September 2013 EXECUTIVE S UMMARY AND KEY FINDINGS INTRODUCTION In the following repot, Hanover Research presents maps that compare wealth of counties in Pennsylvania (PA) with the number of students enrolled at Clarion University of Pennsylvania in Fall 2010, 2011, and 2012 from these counties. For this analysis, we use county-level per capita income as an indicator for the amount of wealth of these counties. In total, we created four different maps, with the first map (Figure 2.1) providing an overview of the distribution of per capita income among the counties in PA. The second and third maps (Figures 2.2 and 2.3) compare the wealth of the counties with the number of enrollments1 at the university from the counties in PA. The final map (Figure 2.4) shows how the number of students at Clarion University from the various counties in PA changed between Fall 2010 and Fall 2012 in comparison to the wealth of the counties. KEY FINDINGS  Table 1 shows the counties with the highest and lowest per capita income in PA with the average number of freshmen and average overall enrollment between 2010 and 2012. Between the top three wealthiest counties in terms of per capita income, Clarion University enrolls more students from Montgomery County than either Chester County or Bucks County. Table 1: Wealthiest and Poorest PA Counties 1 $42,042 AVERAGE NUMBER OF FRESHMEN (2010-12) 6 AVERAGE ENROLLMENT ( 2010-12) 32 Montgomery County $41,163 13 43 Bucks County $36,601 Bottom Three Per Capita Income Forest County $14,306 9 Average Number of Freshmen ( 2010-12) 19 32 Average Enrollment ( 2010-12) 47 Fayette County $19,717 9 21 Mifflin County $19,758 2 15 PA $27,824 1,224 5,922 TOP THREE PER CAPITA INCOME Chester County Average number of freshmen and total enrollment at the University are mapped separately. While freshmen only indicate undergraduate students, total enrollment includes both undergraduate and graduate students. © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 3 Hanover Research | September 2013  Table 2 indicates that approximately 40 percent of new students from PA who enrolled in an undergraduate program at Clarion University between 2010 and 2012, are from Allegheny County, Venango County, and Clarion County. Only Allegheny is considered a wealthy county, as its average per capita income is higher than the state average. Clarion University did not enroll any undergraduate students from Fulton County between 2010 and 2012. Table 2: Average Number of Freshmen (2010 to 2012)  AVERAGE NUMBER OF FRESHMEN PER CAPITA INCOME PA 2,072 $27,824 Top Average Number of Freshmen County Per Capita Income Allegheny County 279 (13.5%) Above State Average Venango County 269 (13.0%) Below State Average Clarion County 268 (13.0%) Below State Average Bottom Average Number of Freshmen County Per Capita Income Fulton County 0 Below State Average Wyoming County 1 Below State Average Sullivan County 1 Below State Average In terms of both undergraduate and graduate enrollment at Clarion University, approximately 38 percent of the all PA students come from Allegheny County, Clarion County, and Venango County. Between 2010 and 2012, an average of 814 students enrolled from Allegheny County, which is considered a wealthy state. Table 3: Average Enrollment2 (2010 to 2012) 2 AVERAGE ENROLLMENT PER CAPITA INCOME PA 5,922 $27,824 Top Average Enrollment County Per Capita Income Allegheny County 814 (13.7%) Above State Average Clarion County 758 (12.8%) Below State Average Venango County 673 (11.3%) Below State Average Bottom Average Enrollment County Per Capita Income Sullivan County 1 Below State Average Fulton County 2 Below State Average Wyoming County 3 Below State Average Total Enrollment includes both undergraduate and graduate students. © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 4 Hanover Research | September 2013  Between 2010 and 2012, Clarion University experienced the highest increases in enrollment figures from Adams County, Lehigh County, and Schuylkill County. However, over the same time period, the number of students enrolled at Clarion University from Allegheny County, Erie County, and Mercer County decreased significantly. Table 4: Difference in Enrollment Between 2010 and 2012 CHANGE FROM 2010 TO 2012 PER CAPITA INCOME PA -813 $27,824 Increase in Enrollment Change from 2010 to 2012 County Per Capita Income Adams County 15 Below State Average Lehigh County 12 Below State Average Schuylkill County 10 Below State Average Decrease in Enrollment Change from 2010 to 2012 County Per Capita Income Allegheny County -106 Above State Average Erie County -75 Below State Average Mercer County -70 Below State Average © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 5 Hanover Research | September 2013 SECTION I: METHODOLOGY Clarion University of Pennsylvania provided Hanover Research with student level data for Fall 2010, 2011, and 2012, which were used to compute the number of new students as well as the total number of students enrolled at Clarion University from each county in PA. In this report, we compare the three year average number of freshman and the three year average enrollment with the wealth of each of the counties in the state. In addition to this, we also created a separate map which indicates how the number of students enrolled at the university from PA counties varied between 2010 and 2012. We used per capita income of each county as a standard indicator of the “wealth” of a county. County level per capita income is available from the U.S. Census Bureau, and is defined as the mean money income received in the past 12 months computed for everyone over the age of 15 in the geographic area.3 The per capita income data used in this report use a five year estimate (2007-2011) in 2011 inflation adjusted dollars. Figure 2.1 is a simple choropleth map that shows the distribution of per capita income among the various counties in PA (darker shade of blue indicating wealthier counties). In Figures 2.2 through 2.4, counties with per capita income higher than the state average are highlighted in green, while counties with per capita income lower than the state average are highlighted in orange. For each of the counties, different shades of green and orange are used to indicate the average number of new students, the average number of students enrolled at Clarion University and the difference in the number of students enrolled between 2010 and 2012. In our maps, darker shades of green or orange indicate higher enrollment or higher differences in enrollment between years. 3 These data are collected in the American Community Survey (ACS). The data are estimates and are subject to sampling variability. The data for each geographic area are presented together with margins of error at factfinder2.census.gov. The data are period estimates, that is, they represent the characteristics of the population over a specific 60-month data collection period. © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 6 Hanover Research | September 2013 SECTION II: MAPS Figure 2.1: Pennsylvania per Capita Income in the Past 12 Months (in 2011 Inflation-Adjusted Dollars), 2007-2011 by County4 4 Please refer to Figure A.1 in Appendix A for the county codes. © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 7 Hanover Research | September 2013 Figure 2.2: Per Capita Income and Average Number of Freshmen at Clarion University of Pennsylvania between 2010 and 2012 by Counties in Pennsylvania © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 8 Hanover Research | September 2013 Figure 2.3: Per Capita Income and Average Number of Students Enrolled at Clarion University of Pennsylvania between 2010 and 2012 by Counties in Pennsylvania © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 9 Hanover Research | September 2013 Figure 2.4: Per Capita Income and the Difference in Student Enrollment at Clarion University of Pennsylvania between 2010 and 2012 by Counties in Pennsylvania © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 10 Hanover Research | September 2013 APPENDIX A: COUNTY CODES Figure A.1: County Codes Used in the Maps COUNTY NAMES CODE COUNTY NAMES CODE Adams County AD Juniata County JU Allegheny County AL Lackawanna County LA Armstrong County AR Lancaster County LN Beaver County BE Lawrence County LW Bedford County BD Lebanon County LE Berks County BR Lehigh County LH Blair County BL Luzerne County LZ Bradford County BF Lycoming County LY Bucks County BU McKean County MK Butler County BT Mercer County ME Cambria County CA Mifflin County MI Cameron County CM Monroe County MO Carbon County CR Montgomery County MT Centre County CE Montour County MU Chester County CH Northampton County NO Clarion County CI Northumberland County NT Clearfield County CL Perry County PE Clinton County CN Philadelphia County PH Columbia County CO Pike County PI Crawford County CW Potter County PO Cumberland County CU Schuylkill County SC Dauphin County DA Snyder County SN Delaware County DL Somerset County SO Elk County EL Sullivan County SU Erie County ER Susquehanna County SQ Fayette County FA Tioga County TI Forest County FO Union County UN Franklin County FR Venango County VE Fulton County FU Warren County WA Greene County GR Washington County WS Huntingdon County HU Wayne County WY Indiana County IN Westmoreland County WE Jefferson County JE Wyoming County WO York County YO © 2013 Hanover Research | Academy Administration Practice 11 Hanover Research | September 2013 PROJECT EVALUATION FORM Hanover Research is committed to providing a work product that meets or exceeds partner expectations. 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